Author Walter Jon Williams has forecasted a lot of things, but rarely gets credit. https://media.wired.com/photos/5b9c282aca79862d1ac3316c/master/pass/ArabSpring-108195327.jpg
Tag: predicting
Random people as good as judicial software at predicting future arrests
(credit: Adam Jones, Ph.D.) In 2016, ProPublica caused a stir when it evaluated the performance of software that’s used in criminal justice proceedings. The software, which is used to evaluate a defendant’s chance of committing further crimes, turned out to produce different results when evaluating black people and caucasians. The significance of that discrepancy is […]
2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT: Here’s what the experts are predicting for all 32 first-round picks
Ron Jenkins/Getty Images We are still three months from the 2018 NFL Draft, but players and teams are already jockeying for position, and experts are starting to weigh in on their early predictions with mock drafts. We surveyed eight NFL Draft experts who have released mock drafts recently to get a consensus prediction for which […]
Predicting diseases could improve with new ‘reliable’ count of cell proteins
Scientists have produced what they say is the first reliable count of protein molecules in a simple cell. They hope the finding will lead to new ways to predict diseases such as cancer in more complex human cells.
Here’s what 12 Wall Street pros are predicting for the stock market in 2018
Mark Kolbe/Getty It’s hard to find anyone that’s bearish. 2017 was one of the most profitable for the S&P 500 in this bull market, now in its ninth year, with a 19.4% gain. And all the lead strategists at top Wall Street firms expect many of the same catalysts to lift stocks again in 2018, […]
Trump is reportedly talking about Supreme Court justices’ health issues, privately predicting he’ll be able to appoint 4
AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast President Donald Trump has already appointed one Supreme Court justice, and is reportedly telling people he believes he will appoint three more. Multiple sources told Axios’ Jonathan Swan that Trump is openly predicting he’ll be able to fill four Supreme Court seats as president. One of Trump’s signature victories as president has been the appointment of […]
Investors are not great at predicting politics
FINANCIAL markets are supposed to be the font of all wisdom, weighing up the information available and condensing it into a set of prices. Investors are presumed to have an insight into the future—falling bond yields are seen as a sign that the economy is slowing, for example. But are investors that clever when it […]
Rescued polar bear 'with 6th sense’ joins Hermitage cat in predicting Confed & World Cup results
Published time: 17 Jun, 2017 17:59 A 2-year-old polar bear rescued from Russia’s Far East who now lives in the Moscow Region has developed not only an interest in football, but quite impressive prediction skills, her carers say, introducing Nika the Bear as an official FIFA oracle. The female bear, who had been injured and […]
Wall Street analysts are predicting US auto sales are doomed — but they couldn’t be more wrong (GM, F, TSLA)
Reuters •The US auto market could decline, but the fall won’t be devastating. •The industry is heading into a predictable cyclical downturn. •Analysts are overstating the potential damage to fuel a thesis about high-tech disruption. Barring a sales surge through the second half of 2017, it looks now as if the US market will only […]
NFL MOCK DRAFT: Here is what the experts are predicting for all 32 first-round picks
The NFL Draft is just one week away. This year’s draft is heavy with defensive backs, particularly cornerbacks and running backs. But as usual, as we get closer to the first round, teams begin getting interested in the quarterbacks, too. To gauge what all 32 NFL teams may be considering in the first round, we […]
