TO steal a headline from the SuperCoach guru Tom Sangster at about 10pm on Friday night… “It’s SULI Season!”
Each week the Cheapie Bible will take a long look at the money-makers, the players we all grow man crushes on – and even the ones who seriously let us down like being stood up on a blind date.
Ultimately, I will sift through who we should be buying, selling and holding of the sub $ 200k price bracket. As players eclipse that value they will receive a last hurrah verdict and subsequently drop out of this article.
Here we go (in no particular order)…
NRL EARLY MAIL: Predicted Round 2 team changes
Moses Suli CTW (WST | $ 122,600) – 23.2% Owned – 103 points
Wow. All of a sudden, that $ 1.3million contract is looking like a BARGAIN! Hopefully the astute SuperCoach in all of you (obviously only 23.2% are astute) were in tune with our LIVE Countdown Show and the Late Mail that followed as Suli was a late inclusion to the Tigers team, and boy he did not disappoint. Forming a lethal combination on the left edge with Teddy and Mitchell Moses, the solidly built speedster tore it up after dropping the ball on his first touch. A try, two try assists and numerous tackle busts… The kid is a star.
VERDICT: MUST HAVE. Sell the farm (Dean Whare/Akuila Uate) to get him if you have to. Play him in your 17 with reasonable confidence. Should be 100% owned.
Kalyn Ponga CTW | FLB (NQC | $ 122,600) – 44.2% Owned – 0 points
After one of the biggest pre-season hype-trains in recent memory, Ponga played in reserve grade despite Winterstein not playing, with Javid Bowen taking his place. No doubting his talent, but with a move to the Knights already locked in for next season it seems the teenage prodigy is a mid-season/Origin buy at best.
VERDICT: HOLD for those who were on to start. No go for everyone else. What a shame.
Dean Whare CTW (PTH | $ 143,600) – 45.7% Owned – 12 points
What a letdown. Whare was awful, but so were the entire Panthers team against an upbeat Dragons outfit who smashed one of the competition favourites 42-10. Scoring less than 20 is not uncommon for wingers in well-beaten teams, but when you add in the threat he may lose his place in the team upon DWZ’s return in round 3 and this aint no healthy relationship for any of us…
VERDICT: HOLD, but get Whare as far away from your starting 17 as possible.
PODCAST: LISTEN TO THE SUPERCOACH ROUND 1 WRAP BELOW
Jayden Brailey HOK (SHA | $ 122,600) – 47.8% Owned – 36 points
Brailey looked every bit a first grader on debut against the Broncos, making 36 tackles in his 59 minutes with minimal attacking output as we expected. You can’t be relying upon him to score well, and the rumours about James Segeyaro joining the club seem to be getting stronger. Sit tight and ride this one out.
VERDICT: HOLD if you have him, but avoid if you don’t. Segeyaro spells danger.
Nick Cotric CTW (CBR | $ 122,600) – 52.8% Owned – 28 points
With the seemingly clear path to the left wing spot for the season and amazing pedigree on display, Cotric became the SuperCoach most owned player behind Jarryd Hayne, with over 50% of teams selecting him prior to final lockout for round one. No pressure youngster! Cotric was solid in his debut away to the Cowboys, making a great try-saving tackle, and looking dangerous when the ball went his way. 8 tackle busts points, and most of his runs being over 8m is a good sign. Look for him to be a bigger scorer next week against the Sharks at home.
VERDICT: BUY/HOLD. The most owned cheapie, with good reason. Aside from Suli, seems like he could be one of our biggest earners this season.
Brian Kelly CTW (MNL | $ 122,600) – 48.1% Owned – 56 points
Kelly got the start at left centre and scored a great try with almost his first touch after some great footwork and a couple of fends. The Sea Eagles were thumped in this one by the Eels and with so little ball in the second half, Kelly did well to score 56. Had Takarangi not stuck an arm out to stop a certain second try for Kelly, and Semi chased him down when through the line, it could’ve been a huge debut. Looks locked in to the team.
VERDICT: BUY/HOLD. If you’re one of the 51.9% who don’t own Kelly, stop reading this article and buy him now. The rest of us just need to sit back and enjoy the ride.
Siosifa Talaki CTW | 2RF (STH | $ 160,400) – 41.6% Owned – 47 points
Talaki played admirably in a well beaten side. He was constantly getting into the tough stuff, had 8 tackle bust points, and notably, 24 points in hitups over 8m. That’s impressive. With the unfortunate injury to Greg Inglis, Talaki is locked in to that centre position for the long haul – just like he is to my starting side in the CTW.
VERDICT: BUY/HOLD. Talaki is going to be essential all the way through the byes with his point scoring, dual flexibility and great coverage of rounds 12 & 15. Should be 100% owned.
Felise Kaufusi FRF (MEL | $ 192,600) – 27.9% Owned – 41 points
In soaking wet conditions at Belmore, Kaufusi played the full 80-minutes (most likely as a result of the Jesse Bromwich injury in the 10th minute and Finucane concussion test). His work rate in defense was very solid, and despite minimal opportunities to run the ball one would assume that was a product of playing a simple game style – through the middle in the wet – in protecting a second half lead.
VERDICT: BUY! Kaufusi looks a lock to make great money with his opportunity on the edge at least until Tohu returns, and score well enough to feature in your 17 each week.
Tautau Moga CTW (BRO | $ 167,100) – 29.8% Owned – 42 points
Moga played very well in the wet at Shark Park against the premiers without scoring a try. 10 points in tackle busts, an offload and most of his runs going over the 8m mark. Most importantly, he looked every bit an important player for the Broncos in a win away from home – generally a good sign at the selection table!
VERDICT: BUY/HOLD. Moga scored 42 on a night where he didn’t score a try, if he can find some attacking stats at home next weekend he should be making us some nice cash!
Luke Yates FRF | 2RF (NEW | $ 122,600) – 37.6% Owned – 38 points
We expected Yates was going to see limited minutes, but after a head knock to Mitch Barnett in the first half, the young middle forward came on and impressed on both ends, seeing a total of 48 minutes. 23 tackles, and all but one of his runs reaching the 8m mark for his 38 points, a steady start and a slow-burner cash cow for sure.
VERDICT: HOLD. Should see between 35-45 minutes in most games, just what we need for him to increase to over $ 200k for pre-bye upgrades.
Ryley Jacks HFB | 5/8 (MEL | $ 122,600) – 4.3% owned – 39 points
Jacks was a late inclusion for Young Tonumaipea (via Munster to FLB) and handled himself very well in horrible conditions. Unlike many rookie halves, Jacks was up for it defensively – defending in the middle – making 35 tackles.
VERDICT: WATCHLIST. Heavily reliant on Billy Slater’s return to football but looks a first grader. Make a decision on him after round two. I mean, not a bad debut when you outscore Cameron Smith, right?
Jai Field HFB | 5/8 (STG | $ 122,600) – 19.2% Owned – 3 points
Yuck. If it were possible to lose money from the base price of $ 122,600 then Field would be looking down the barrel. McInnes played 80 minutes, with Field coming on as McCrone’s direct replacement for a mere 11 minutes. With the huge win over one of the competition favourites and McCrone playing well, it seems the role will stay as is for a while – the worst possible scenario for owners as Field is the definition of an AE nightmare.
VERDICT: AVOID. You can’t sell Field if you started with him, you just have to hope Mary hands the reins over to Field at some point.
Josh McCrone HOK | HFB (STG | $ 183,800) – 4.2% Owned – 52 points
Speaking of McCrone… He actually played very well in this game, with the Dragons looking in circa 2010 form. A try assist, a last touch assist, forced dropout and plenty of tackles were a steady start to the season. But…
VERDICT: Don’t even think about it.
Dylan Phythian HOK | FLB (NEW | $ 156,400) – 28.6% Owned – 17 points
What a horrible story for the Python, after earning the vacant Knights fullback spot for round one on the back of a strong off-season and trial performances, all reports indicate he suffered an ACL injury on Sunday. Visibly and vocally distressed after a solid start to the match, we wish him all the best, but the 28.6% of owners out there need to take the unfortunate emotion out of it and sell for one of the must have cheapies like Cotric, Suli, Kelly etc.
VERDICT: SELL. The poor kid, unfortunately you will have to sell to a CTW|FLB cheapie if you can, and if you started with him as your bench hooker I would probably hold until next week when the James Segeyaro news re Brailey becomes solidified.
Akuila Uate CTW (MNL | $ 172,500) – 19.3% Owned – 45 points
Uate was solid without being spectacular in his Sea Eagles debut, with 14 points in 8m+ hitups, a line break assist, offload and 8 points in tackle busts. Most of his work came off his own goal line and despite one handling error, the 45 points without a try in a well beaten side is a positive result for his owners.
VERDICT: HOLD. I wouldn’t be rushing to buy Uate if you don’t own him, but those who do should stick fat – I mean, they got flogged here, imagine what he’ll score when they win games…
Brock Lamb HFB | 5/8 (NEW | $ 176,500) – 24.2% Owned – 46 points
Lamb was very impressive in a high tempo game over at Mt Smart Stadium against the Warriors. Despite making two errors and giving away a penalty, Lamb took on the line 12 times, had two effective offloads, 20 tackles and a try assist. If you took the punt on him as a cheapie option in the halves over other popular options in Field/Elgey, give yourself a pat on the back.
VERDICT: HOLD. Nice start, promises to be a solid money earner.
Frank Winterstein 2RF (MNL | $ 172,900) – 30% Owned – 32 points
We knew ‘Frankenstein’ had a poor-ish PPM of 0.58 in previous seasons, but with the prospect of a starting edge back row spot and big minutes on the horizon many were hoping for an increase in workrate. Ah, NOPE! 70 minutes played for a PPM of 0.5. Considering Nate Myles only played 18 minutes, and Lloyd Perrett 16 minutes, you would expect the coach has serious trust in Frank.
VERDICT: HOLD. Not an awful start, but hopefully he can jag some attacking stats in games where the Sea Eagles are more competitive.
Patrick Kaufusi 2RF | FRF (NQC | $ 152,100) – 9.6% Owned – 23 points
We said Kaufusi was a no-go in the Cheapie Bible last week, and even without Fensom in the matchday squad, he could only manage 37 minutes off the bench (including Golden Point).
VERDICT: AVOID. Unfortunately things are only going to get worse with Fensom joining, so the 9.6% of owners need to keep an eye on any base priced FRF|2RFs that pop up.
Sam Stone FRF | 2RF (NEW | $ 122,600) – 19% Owned – 16 points
17 minutes, 16 points. Not a bad PPM but this is not going to be a profitable environment.
VERDICT: SELL. It’s hard to do with not much else around in the price bracket, but Stone is an AE nightmare. Wait for the right cheapie to pop up and pull the trigger.
Ma’afoaeata Hingano (NZL | $ 165,400) – 8.5% Owned – 47 points
Hingano had big wraps all off-season, played very well in the Auckland Nines and trials and now you can add his NRL debut to the list as he was one of the best on the field against the Knights. The Sky Sports commentary team was heaping praise on the Junior Kiwi half, and he looked every bit a first grader. Ah man, if only we didn’t have a road-block named Kieran Foran coming back in round 3 we would have ourselves a cheapie.
VERDICT: AVOID/WATCHLIST. Nothing to do with his ability.
Clay Priest FRF | 2RF (CBR | $ 156,800) – 16.1% Owned – 30 points
“It’s a trap!” was the call last week, as Junior Paulo was suspended, yet he still managed to get the ‘green light next to his name’ attention from 16.1% of teams. This was his great opportunity, but a paltry 30 points 39 minutes even without Paulo is not good signs.
VERDICT: AVOID. May well be a 30-35 average slow-burner, but there are much better options out there.
Suaia Matagi FRF (PAR | $ 192,600) – 9.6% Owned – 49 points
Matagi was one of the most under the radar cheapie prospects of the pre-season due to his starting role and great PPM, and boy he didn’t disappoint here. Matagi runs the ball like a freight train, and nearly knocked Marty Taupau out of Lottoland on one drop-out return – no mean feat! Scoring 49 points with 4 tackle busts, an offload, line break assist and 20 points in hitups 8m+ in just 47 minutes is fantastic, add to that the great bye schedule the Eels have and he could be one of the most important cheapies of the year.
VERDICT: HOLD/BUY. Very impressive, and will hopefully continue to build from here.
Kaysa Pritchard HOK (PAR | $ 153,300) – 10% Owned – 39 points
Much like Jayden Brailey, Pritchard is all about tackles – finishing the game at a mere 23 points before being upgraded to 39 points prior to lockout. The main difference between Pritchard and Brailey though is that Pritchard played the full 80 minutes.
VERDICT: HOLD. Given the horrible PPM and the fact he’s unlikely to score over 40 at any point, I wouldn’t be buying unless I was a desperate Phythian owner.
Luke Kelly HOK | HFB (STH | $ 160,400) – 6.8% Owned – 15 points
Adam Reynolds is out, and now the Rabbitohs have lost Inglis for the season, all of which bodes well for Kelly’s job security. However, this is what he is – 15 points in 80 minutes, not the dominant half, and not of SuperCoach relevance.
VERDICT: AVOID. A perennial 30PPG average player.
Charlie Gubb FRF (NZL | $ 172,600) – 6.7% Owned – 48 points
Well then. Gubb produced a fantastic performance – 48 points in just 43 minutes – to make all seasoned SuperCoaches stand up and take notice. Many thought his score was inflated due to Mannering’s injury, but the stats show otherwise. 32 tackles, and every one of his hitups reaching the 8m+ barrier, at just $ 172k, even if he were to only see 40 minutes per game from here on he will still make a sizable chunk of cash! Gubb did fail to finish this one due to concussion, so that’s something to monitor this week.
VERDICT: WATCHLIST/BUY. Gubb looked the goods, and I will strongly consider buying next week before price rises.
WATCHLIST
All of these players need to be monitored in case of injury, or increased role.
Curtis Scott CTW (MEL | $ 143,600) – 23.5% Owned
Joe Stimson 2RF (MEL | $ 122,600) – 14.7% Owned
Shaun Lane 2RF (MNL | $ 122,600) – 14% Owned
Matt Ballin HOK (WST | $ 143,600) – 11.5% Owned
Braiden Burns (STH | $ 122,600) – 11.3% Owned
Matt Dufty FLB (STG | $ 122,600) – 7.7% Owned
Rob Jennings CTW (STH | $ 143,600) – 7.6% Owned
Gideon Gela-Mosby CTW (NQL | $ 122,600) – 7.3% Owned
Jai Arrow 2RF (BRO | $ 195,900) – 3.8% Owned
Tim Browne FRF | 2RF (PTH | $ 186,300) – 3.7% Owned
Lloyd Perrett FRF (MNL | $ 150,400) – 3.5% Owned
Dylan Edwards CTW | FLB (PTH | $ 122,600) – 3.1% Owned
Vincent Leuluai FRF | 2RF (MEL | $ 143,600) – 2% Owned
Matt McIlwrick HOK (WST | $ 143,600) – 1.3% Owned
Moses Leota FRF (PTH | $ 143,600) – 1.3% Owned
Adam Elliot 2RF (BUL | $ 143,600) – 1% Owned
Herman Ese’ese FRF (BRO| $ 143,600) – 1% Owned
Isaiah Papalii FRF (NZL | $ 122,600) – 0.1% Owned
* If players aren’t anywhere on the above lists it is because we deem them irrelevant at least for the time being.
Fingers crossed this huge cheapie edition helps you find your way into round one with all the guns you so desire, and watch the cash come rolling in. Good luck!
Originally published as SuperCoach Cheapie Bible round 2